Air China H1 2025: Revenue Ticks Up, Loss Narrows, Strategy Shifts International
Air China Limited has posted a smaller half-year loss despite modest top-line growth, as lower fuel costs, stronger associate contributions and a swing to FX gains offset weaker yields and higher operating intensity.
The Group reported revenue of RMB80,757.4 million (+1.56% year-on-year) and a net loss of RMB2,710.1 million, an improvement on last year’s RMB3,538.6 million. Loss attributable to equity shareholders narrowed to RMB1,804.8 million, with basic loss per share at RMB(0.11) versus RMB(0.18) in H1 2024. No interim dividend was declared.
Key numbers at a glance
| Revenue | RMB80,757.4 million (+1.56%) |
| Operating loss | RMB1,696.4 million (H1 2024: RMB1,082.0 million) |
| Net loss | RMB2,710.1 million (H1 2024: RMB3,538.6 million) |
| EPS (basic/diluted) | RMB(0.11) (H1 2024: RMB(0.18)) |
| Net exchange gain/(loss) | RMB176.3 million (H1 2024: RMB(360.4) million) |
| Finance costs (ex-capitalised) | RMB2,891.0 million (H1 2024: RMB3,265.5 million) |
| Share of associates | RMB1,220.2 million (incl. Cathay Pacific RMB1,174.0 million) |
| Cash and cash equivalents | RMB25,331.1 million (+20.40% vs 31 Dec 2024) |
| Net current liabilities | RMB78,459.0 million |
| Unutilised bank facilities | RMB180,093.0 million |
| Gearing ratio | 89.00% |
| Passenger load factor | 80.72% (+1.43 pp) |
| Passenger yield (per RPK) | RMB0.5107 (-4.88%) |
| Capacity growth (ASK) | +3.37% (International +16.70%) |
What drove the P&L: solid volume, softer pricing, helpful FX and associates
Revenue mix and yields tell the story
Total revenue edged up to RMB80.8 billion, with passenger revenue essentially flat at RMB73,196.4 million (+0.08%). Air cargo and mail rose to RMB3,577.5 million (+7.48%), and other operations jumped 38.7% year-on-year to RMB2,887.5 million.
- International is gaining weight: RMB21,940.2 million, 27.17% of revenue (H1 2024: 23.99%). Mainland China slipped to 69.69%.
- Capacity grew 3.37% on available seat kilometres (ASK – seats offered times distance), led by International ASK +16.70%.
- Passenger load factor improved to 80.72% (+1.43 percentage points), but passenger yield per RPK (revenue passenger kilometre) fell 4.88% to RMB0.5107. Domestic yield was the pressure point (-6.23%).
Translation: Air China flew more and filled more seats, especially overseas, but did so at lower average fares, particularly at home where the company notes a supply-demand imbalance and price pressure.
Costs: fuel relief, but a busier airline is a pricier airline
Operating expenses rose 1.45% to RMB85,069.7 million. The good news is fuel: jet fuel costs dropped 10.34% to RMB24,327.5 million, thanks to lower prices despite higher consumption. Unit costs improved too: operating expenses per ASK fell 1.84%.
- More flying drove higher take-off and landing charges (+6.53%), maintenance (+6.26%), catering (+6.67%) and employee costs (+5.28%).
- Depreciation and amortisation rose 5.79% as the fleet expanded and flew more hours.
- Other income and gains fell to RMB2,615.8 million from RMB3,250.9 million due to far smaller asset disposal gains (RMB22.3 million vs RMB775.2 million), which also weighed on operating profit.
Net finance costs improved: finance costs fell to RMB2,891.0 million and FX swung to a RMB176.3 million gain from a loss last year. Combined with higher associate income, this helped narrow the bottom-line loss even as the operating loss widened.
Associates and FX turned the dial
Share of results of associates increased to RMB1,220.2 million, including RMB1,174.0 million from Cathay Pacific. That, plus the FX tailwind, bridged the gap from operating loss to a smaller net loss.
Network and metrics: international growth, better loads, mixed cargo pricing
Capacity, load factors and yields explained
Key operating highlights from January to June 2025:
- ASK +3.37%, with International +16.70%; Mainland China -1.26%.
- RPK (revenue passenger kilometres) +5.23%, with International +16.99%.
- Passenger load factor rose to 80.72% (+1.43 pp). Mainland China improved to 82.84% (+2.17 pp).
- Passenger yield per RPK decreased 4.88% to RMB0.5107. Mainland China was the drag (0.5134, -6.23%), while International was only slightly lower (0.4889, -0.77%).
In simple terms: demand is rebuilding, especially across borders, and planes are fuller. Pricing, however, is softer, particularly in China’s domestic market.
Cargo: volumes steady, pricing a touch softer
- AFTK (available freight tonne kilometres) +4.96%; RFTK (revenue freight tonne kilometres) +7.66%.
- Cargo and mail load factor improved to 37.48% (+0.94 pp).
- Yield per RFTK was essentially flat at RMB1.4853 (-0.17%), with International yields down 2.52% and Mainland China up 4.25%.
Balance sheet and cash: highly geared, but liquidity backstops in place
Net current liabilities, but significant undrawn lines
Air China ended the period with net current liabilities of RMB78,459.0 million and a current ratio of 0.38. Cash and cash equivalents increased to RMB25,331.1 million, supported by operating cash inflow of RMB14,828.0 million. The Group highlights RMB180,093.0 million of unutilised bank facilities and prepares the accounts on a going concern basis.
Debt profile and gearing
- Total liabilities were RMB309,309.1 million; gearing ratio was 89.00%.
- Interest-bearing current debt decreased, while non-current debt increased, effectively terming out some obligations.
- Debt is predominantly RMB-denominated (88.85%), with US dollars at 10.96%.
- No financial hedges in place as at period end. Sensitivities disclosed: a 5% move in fuel price would change fuel costs by roughly RMB1,216 million; a 1% RMB move against USD would shift net profit and equity by about RMB133 million.
Fleet and capex: growing and refreshing with Airbus, Boeing and COMAC
The Group introduced nine aircraft and retired five in H1, ending with 934 aircraft (average age 10.28 years). The fleet includes Airbus (430), Boeing (462) and COMAC (39, including C919 and C909), plus three business jets. Capex was RMB5,859.0 million, including RMB2,362.0 million for aircraft-related investments and RMB2,726.0 million for long-term investment projects.
Capital commitments for future aircraft and related equipment stand at RMB93,200.0 million. Management’s introduction plan indicates 47 aircraft in 2025 and phased retirements, though it cautions that actual timing will depend on operations.
Risks and the near-term setup
- Market competition: management notes domestic supply-demand imbalance with declining prices, and intense competition in certain international regions.
- Oil and FX: material sensitivities remain, and there are no hedges in place.
- Alternative competition: China’s expanding high-speed rail network continues to exert pressure on short-to-medium haul demand and pricing.
My take: improving quality of loss, but pricing and leverage matter
There is clear progress beneath the headline loss. Loads are better, fuel has been a tailwind, finance costs are lower, and Cathay Pacific’s contribution is meaningful. The shift toward international traffic is strategically sensible and is cushioning the domestic yield downdraft.
Two watch-outs. First, operating loss widened, largely because “other income” tailwinds from asset disposals faded and operating intensity raised costs. A sustained recovery likely needs pricing to stabilise, especially in Mainland China. Second, leverage is high and the net current liability position is material, even though liquidity backstops are large and cash generation improved.
Overall, this reads as a transitional half: volume is back, revenue mix is improving, and the loss is narrowing for healthier reasons (FX and associates aside). If international ramp-up continues and domestic pricing steadies, the path to breakeven looks more visible. Until then, expect sensitivity to fuel and fares – and keep an eye on that undrawn RMB180.1 billion, which is the safety net for a very busy balance sheet.