Strong palm oil pricing holds as M.P. Evans clears all debt
M.P. Evans has delivered the kind of update investors like to see. Pricing for its palm products has stayed robust into the fourth quarter, cash generation has been strong, and the Group has repaid all outstanding loans. Management now expects revenue to be higher than previously envisaged, with enhanced anticipated profitability for 2025.
There are no hard profit numbers yet, but the direction of travel is clear. With crop volumes up and commodity prices holding firm, the fundamentals look supportive heading into the year-end.
Key numbers at a glance
| Metric | Figure | Period/Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Total crop harvested | 619,100 tonnes | H1 2025, up 9% year-on-year |
| Crop growth | Up 8% | Year-to-date to end August 2025 |
| Crop growth | Up 8% | Year-to-date to end October 2025 |
| Independent crop purchases | Down 39% | Year-on-year at end June 2025 |
| Independent crop purchases | Down 40% | Year-on-year at end October 2025 |
| CPO price (ex-mill-gate) | US$868 per tonne | Average in H1 2025 |
| CPO price (ex-mill-gate) | US$869 per tonne | Average to end October 2025 |
| PK price (ex-mill-gate) | US$747 per tonne | Average in H1 2025 |
| PK price (ex-mill-gate) | US$756 per tonne | Average to end October 2025 |
| November tender prices | ~US$850 CPO, ~US$780 PK | Indicative |
| Loans repaid | US$20.9 million | All loans outstanding at 30 June 2025 now repaid |
Palm oil pricing momentum: what “ex-mill-gate” means and why it matters
CPO stands for crude palm oil. PK refers to palm kernels, a separate product crushed to produce kernel oil. “Ex-mill-gate” pricing is the price achieved at the mill gate before transportation and other downstream costs. It is a clean way to compare realised selling prices across periods.
M.P. Evans held its CPO average at US$869 per tonne to the end of October, essentially flat on the first half. PK prices nudged up to US$756 per tonne. November tenders are broadly in line, with CPO at approximately US$850 per tonne and PK at approximately US$780 per tonne. That mix still represents a strong pricing environment compared with many historical periods, which supports margins when coupled with cost control.
Crop growth and a smarter sourcing mix to lift margins
Total harvested crop in H1 was 619,100 tonnes, up 9% year-on-year, and year-to-date growth remained 8% through the end of October. That volume growth underpins revenue, even before taking price into account.
Management has deliberately reduced purchases from independent suppliers by about 40% year-on-year. That may sound counter-intuitive, but it is about quality, sustainability and margin. Using more of the Group’s own fruit and associated scheme smallholder crop gives better traceability and typically better mill yields. It also means less exposure to third-party pricing, which can squeeze margins in weaker markets. In short, the production mix is shifting in a way that should support profitability without chasing sheer tonnage for the sake of it.
Debt-free after strong cash generation
Cash generation in the second half has been strong enough for M.P. Evans to repay all outstanding loans. At 30 June 2025, those loans totalled US$20.9 million, and the Group says they have now been fully repaid.
Why it matters: a clean balance sheet reduces finance costs and risk. It gives the Group more flexibility for capital allocation, whether that is reinvestment, potential future returns to shareholders, or cushioning against any price volatility. The company has not disclosed new guidance on capex or distributions here, but being debt-free is a clear positive signal of financial health.
Revenue and profit outlook upgraded, but no hard numbers yet
The board now expects Group revenue to be higher than previously envisaged, with enhanced anticipated profitability. That is driven by sustained pricing, solid crop growth and continued focus on costs. Exact revenue and profit figures are not disclosed in this RNS. We will have to wait for the January 2026 crop, production and pricing update for full-year detail.
Still, the signposting is useful. When a commodity producer maintains price realisations into the fourth quarter and keeps a firm hand on costs, operating leverage usually helps the bottom line.
What could move the shares next
- Pricing through year-end: November tenders suggest steady CPO and PK prices. December pricing will be the next tell.
- Throughput versus mix: the 40% reduction in third-party crop purchases supports margins, but watch mill utilisation and extraction rates to gauge the net effect on output and costs.
- Cost control: the company flags ongoing discipline. Any commentary in January on fertiliser, labour and logistics costs will be important for 2026 margin assumptions.
- Sustainability and traceability: the shift away from independent supply underpins the sustainability profile. That can help pricing and access to premium markets over time.
Risks to keep in mind
- Commodity volatility: CPO and PK prices can move quickly, impacting realised prices and margins.
- Weather and agronomy: yields depend on weather patterns and estate management. Nothing adverse is flagged here, but it is always a variable.
- Operational balance: cutting external purchases benefits margin quality, but if own-crop growth slows, overall mill volumes could be affected.
My take: a constructive setup into 2026
This is a tidy update. Prices have held up, operational discipline is evident, and the balance sheet is now debt-free. Management is setting expectations for higher revenue and profitability without overpromising, which I like.
The next catalyst is the January 2026 update, where we should get full-year crop, production and pricing detail. For now, the combination of steady CPO and PK realisations, 8% year-to-date crop growth, and US$20.9 million of debt repaid points to a stronger-than-expected finish to 2025. It is a sensible, shareholder-friendly trajectory – one that reduces risk and keeps options open for the year ahead.
Quick definitions
- CPO: crude palm oil, the primary product pressed from palm fruit.
- PK: palm kernels, the seed inside the fruit; processed separately to produce kernel oil.
- Ex-mill-gate price: the price achieved at the mill before transport or downstream costs, a good proxy for the producer’s realised price.
Disclosure note: This announcement includes information disclosed under the Market Abuse Regulation. A fuller operational and financial update is expected in January 2026.