Pantheon Resources Reports FY2025: Losses Narrow, New Leadership Appointed Amid Alaskan Drilling Updates

Dubhe-1 in SMD-B: better execution, testing continues

Dubhe-1, an appraisal well in the Ahpun Shelf Margin Deltaic-B reservoir, had a more encouraging trajectory. A pilot hole proved a 565-foot vertical thickness in the primary target and confirmed hydrocarbons in multiple intervals. The horizontal was completed with a full-scale frac – 25 stages in 8 days, markedly faster than the analogous Alkaid-2. The well was flow tested for two months and is now shut-in for static reservoir testing, with production testing targeted to restart in 2026.

Notably, management estimates that Dubhe data increased its Ahpun 2C liquids estimate by 228 million barrels. That sits alongside three independent expert reports in 2024 that certified a combined c. 1.6 billion barrels of ANS crude and 6.6 Tcf of natural gas across Ahpun and Kodiak.

Resource base, TAPS proximity and Alaska LNG

Pantheon owns 100% working interest over c. 259,000 acres on state land, directly adjacent to the Dalton Highway and TAPS – a genuine competitive edge in cost, timing and funding requirements. Independently certified resources include:

• Kodiak (NSAI): 2C of 1,208 mmbbl liquids and 5,396 bcf gas
• Ahpun Western Topsets (CGA): 2C of 282 mmbbl liquids and 803 bcf gas
• Ahpun Alkaid (LKA): 2C of 79 mmbbl liquids and 424 bcf gas

On gas, momentum on the Alaska LNG project continues with Glenfarne as lead developer. Pantheon remains engaged, aiming to progress from its 2024 Gas Sales Precedent Agreement towards a full take-or-pay Gas Sales Agreement, with embedded rights (including helium) being discussed. The company’s stated objective is to demonstrate sustainable market recognition of c. $5 per barrel of recoverable resources by end 2028, with Ahpun targeted for FID in 2H 2027 and production into TAPS by the end of 2028.

Funding, bonds and going concern

The capital plan remains the swing factor. The company expects a working capital shortfall in the second half of 2026 and will need more funding. Management’s toolkit includes:

• Strategic farm-out opportunities
• Equity issuance and third-party debt facilities
• Reserves-based lending when feasible

The auditor included a “material uncertainty” paragraph on going concern, which is standard for pre-cash flow developers reliant on future funding. Clearing the Heights bond was a win; $28.5 million of principal remains on the SHK convertible (due 2028). Equity raises have been successful, but dilution remains a risk to balance against project advancement.

My take: why this update matters

This is a classic transition year: build the team, finance the plan, and advance the technicals. The financial optics improved, though primarily due to non-cash derivative gains rather than lower underlying costs. Operationally, Megrez disappointed while Dubhe-1 looks progressively more interesting – but results still need to be demonstrated over longer-term testing.

The core investment case remains intact: a large resource, on state land, next to underutilised infrastructure, with independent reports underpinning scale. If Ahpun can be proven and funded on a phased, capital-disciplined basis, it could unlock Kodiak and create a route to self-funding. The Alaska LNG angle is a strategic kicker for the gas, provided offtake terms and timelines firm up.

What’s positive

• Loss after tax fell to $4.2 million; cash improved to $13.2 million
• Heights bond fully repaid; SHK bond in place to 2028
• Dubhe-1 delivered better execution and thicker pay; further testing in 2026
• Independent 2024 certifications back c. 1.6 billion barrels and 6.6 Tcf
• Leadership strengthened with deep Alaska and development experience

What’s negative

• Megrez-1 flowed virtually no hydrocarbons during testing
• Auditor flagged a material going concern uncertainty
• Higher G&A and continued need for external funding, with dilution risk

What to watch in 2026

• Extended production testing and data from Dubhe-1
• Progress on an Alaska LNG Gas Sales Agreement with Glenfarne
• Permitting milestones for TAPS hot tap and environmental approvals
• Farm-out discussions or other non-dilutive funding steps
• Any moves towards a US listing and associated governance enhancements

Bottom line

Pantheon is doing the hard yards to turn a sizeable Alaskan resource into a development project. The strategy is coherent: prove Ahpun, leverage proximity to infrastructure, monetise gas via Alaska LNG, then scale to Kodiak. Execution and funding discipline will decide outcomes from here. For investors, this remains a higher-risk, potentially high-reward North Slope story, with 2026 shaping up as a results year for Dubhe and for the gas commercialisation plan.