Virgin Wines reports resilient trading with 4% revenue growth but FY26 profit below expectations. New Preston warehouse aims to boost efficiency from FY28. #VirginWines #RNS
This article covers information on Virgin Wines UK PLC.
LON:VINOVirgin Wines has put out a mixed trading update, and the short version is this: the business is still growing, still taking market share, and still backing its strategy – but profits for FY26 are now expected to come in below what the market had been hoping for.
That matters because investors usually like growth, but they like growth a lot more when it drops through into profit. Right now, Virgin Wines is proving it can keep sales moving in a tough market, yet it is also showing how hard higher costs and shaky consumer confidence can bite.
| Metric | FY26 update | Previous market expectation |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | c. £61 million | £63.25 million |
| EBITDA | -£200,000 | £100,000 |
| PBT | -£1.5 million | -£1 million |
| Q1 sales trend | -4.5% | Not disclosed |
| Q2 sales trend | +5% | Not disclosed |
| Q3 sales trend | +8% | Not disclosed |
| Customer acquisition growth | Over 40% | Not disclosed |
| Warehouse Wines revenue growth | Up 90% | Not disclosed |
The first thing to say is that this is not a disaster update. Revenue is still expected to grow by around 4% in FY26, which is a decent effort when the wider online drinks sector is shrinking year-on-year.
But it is still a downgrade against expectations. Revenue is coming in about £2.25 million below prior market forecasts, while EBITDA and profit before tax are both weaker than hoped.
For clarity, EBITDA means earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation – a common measure of underlying trading performance. PBT means profit before tax. In this update, both figures are stated before share-based payments.
The operational headline here is the new warehouse facility in Preston. Virgin Wines has signed a lease and plans to exit its current Bolton site by the end of February 2027, which means all fulfilment will be based in Preston.
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That looks sensible to me. Running fulfilment across two sites can add complexity, duplicated costs and transport inefficiencies, so consolidating into one warehouse should make the model cleaner.
The company says this move should create meaningful synergies, economies of scale and structural operational benefits from FY28 onwards. In plain English, it expects the bigger single-site set-up to be cheaper and more efficient over time.
There is a cost to get there, though. The warehouse build and fit-out will be completed during FY27, with around £0.7 million of exceptional operating costs and around £1.6 million of increased capital expenditure, or capex.
Capex is money spent on long-term assets like buildings, systems or equipment rather than day-to-day running costs. So investors should expect some near-term spend before any benefit shows up properly in the numbers.
One reassuring point is funding. Virgin Wines says it remains debt free and will fund the new warehouse investment through existing cash reserves.
That is important because warehouse projects can become awkward if a company has to stretch its balance sheet. Virgin Wines is saying it does not need to do that, and it also makes clear that WineBank cash balances are ringfenced and are not being used for capex.
That ringfencing point matters. WineBank is a core customer proposition, so investors will want confidence that customer-related cash is not being dipped into for infrastructure spending.
Under the bonnet, there is actually quite a lot to like in this update. Management says it expects to deliver over 40% growth in customers acquired across the Group for FY26, which suggests marketing spend is still bringing new people through the door.
The company also says it has secured substantial new commercial partnerships and a new supply channel into UK sports stadiums. That sounds promising, although the names of those partnerships and the likely revenue contribution are not disclosed.
Existing partnerships with Moonpig and Ocado are still performing well, with double-digit revenue growth. That is a positive signal because it shows Virgin Wines is not relying on just one route to market.
There is also some encouraging progress in digital. The new mobile app launched on time and on budget, with approximately 13,000 downloads in April and May.
On its own, 13,000 downloads does not tell you whether the app will be a major earnings driver. But it does show management is delivering projects as planned, and that matters for credibility.
Warehouse Wines, the group’s value-focused offer, is expected to deliver FY26 revenue growth of 90% year-on-year. That is a strong number and suggests the lower-priced proposition is landing well with customers in a strained consumer market.
Management is pretty clear about the backdrop. Consumer confidence and discretionary spending remain under pressure, and the company says that has worsened further due to the effects of the war in the Middle East.
On top of that, Virgin Wines highlights increased duty and EPR as cost pressures. Duty is tax on alcohol, while EPR refers to Extended Producer Responsibility, a policy that increases packaging-related costs for producers and retailers.
The company says it has worked hard to mitigate these cost increases, but not fully. That feels believable, and it helps explain why revenue can grow while profitability still disappoints.
The quarterly trend is worth noting too. Sales moved from Q1 at -4.5% to Q2 at +5% and Q3 at +8%, which shows momentum improved as the year went on.
That is a good sign. It suggests the strategy is gaining traction, even if the external cost and consumer environment is preventing a cleaner profit outcome.
My take is that this is operationally positive but financially a bit frustrating. The warehouse move looks smart, the growth channels appear to be working, and market share gains in a declining sector are not easy to dismiss.
But investors cannot ignore the guidance miss. A move from expected EBITDA of £100,000 to a loss of £200,000, alongside revenue guidance below consensus, tells you the near-term recovery is slower than hoped.
The good news is that this does not read like a business under serious stress. It is debt free, still investing, and still seeing improving sales momentum quarter by quarter.
The less good news is that shareholders may need patience. Management is asking the market to look through FY26 pressure and focus on FY28 operational benefits, stronger growth channels and a rebound in underlying profitability.
That may prove the right call, but it is still a promise rather than a delivered result today. For now, I would class this update as cautiously encouraging on strategy, but modestly negative on near-term earnings.
If you are a shareholder, the key question is simple: do you believe Virgin Wines can turn today’s growth investments into stronger profits over the next couple of years? This update does not settle that debate, but it does give management a fair case to make.
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